Stock Market Futures Today: What’s Moving the Dow, S&P 500 & Nasdaq

🧠 TL;DR

Stock futures slipped overnight after a week of losses driven by poor jobs data, Trump-era tariff fears, and a tech earnings miss. Futures on the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all retreated amid investor caution. Asian markets added pressure as job numbers weakened. The key question now: is the Fed about to pivot?


📉 Stock Market Futures Reaction & Key Drivers

Why It’s Happening:

  • Weak Jobs Report: July saw only ~73K new hires—well below expectations. Markets now see a ~90% chance of a September Fed rate cut. AP News

  • Oversized Market Sell-off Last Week: The Dow dropped 2.9%, while S&P & Nasdaq fell 1.6–2.2%. Tariffs, inflation fears, and Trump firing federal statisticians added to panic. Investors

  • Tariff Fallout Continues: U.S. just imposed tariffs up to 41% on key trading partners, rattling investor sentiment further. AP NewsReuters


🌏 Global Context: Asia Follows Suit


📊 What to Watch in the Week Ahead

🔑 Indicator 🔍 Why It Matters
NFP July Jobs Report Downward revisions might force Fed hand
Palantir, AMD, Shopify earnings Could confirm or break tech rally momentum Reuters+6Investors+6Reuters+6AP News+7moneycontrol.com+7markets.businessinsider.com+7
OPEC+ oil production plan Oil sliding after decision could support spending
Currency shifts Dollar weakness + bond yield drop to influence equity flows

📌 Bottom Line: Futures Hit Pause, But Upside Still Possible

  • Volatility elevated—expect gyrating futures as data, policy, and earnings unfold.

  • Any sign of labor weakness or rate cuts may spark a rebound—or deepen the dip.

Strategy tip: Keep exposure under control, watch Fed messaging, and use index futures for hedging or tactical entry.